Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.000836 0.000898 0.000962 0.001036 0.001117 0.001204 0.001306
2026-01-18 0.000746 0.000829 0.000921 0.001032 0.001161 0.001308 0.001490
2026-01-25 0.000784 0.000900 0.001034 0.001202 0.001409 0.001658 0.001988
2026-02-01 0.000710 0.000830 0.000973 0.001157 0.001392 0.001686 0.002092
2026-02-08 0.000655 0.000778 0.000927 0.001124 0.001384 0.001719 0.002199
2026-02-15 0.000617 0.000743 0.000900 0.001112 0.001397 0.001779 0.002345
2026-02-22 0.000579 0.000705 0.000865 0.001085 0.001388 0.001804 0.002442
2026-03-01 0.000539 0.000664 0.000822 0.001045 0.001357 0.001796 0.002487
2026-03-08 0.000514 0.000639 0.000800 0.001031 0.001361 0.001835 0.002604
2026-03-15 0.000490 0.000614 0.000776 0.001011 0.001354 0.001858 0.002698
2026-03-22 0.000455 0.000574 0.000730 0.000959 0.001297 0.001800 0.002655
2026-03-29 0.000435 0.000552 0.000708 0.000938 0.001284 0.001809 0.002722
2026-04-05 0.000416 0.000533 0.000691 0.000929 0.001293 0.001860 0.002881
2026-04-12 0.000399 0.000517 0.000678 0.000924 0.001309 0.001925 0.003077
2026-04-19 0.000429 0.000567 0.000761 0.001069 0.001575 0.002434 0.004180
2026-04-26 0.000404 0.000537 0.000727 0.001031 0.001538 0.002416 0.004249
2026-05-03 0.000384 0.000514 0.000700 0.001003 0.001516 0.002421 0.004371
2026-05-10 0.000370 0.000498 0.000685 0.000992 0.001521 0.002479 0.004611
2026-05-17 0.000354 0.000479 0.000663 0.000969 0.001503 0.002489 0.004749
2026-05-24 0.000336 0.000457 0.000635 0.000935 0.001463 0.002453 0.004772
2026-05-31 0.000324 0.000444 0.000621 0.000923 0.001462 0.002493 0.004985
2026-06-07 0.000313 0.000430 0.000605 0.000906 0.001451 0.002513 0.005149
2026-06-14 0.000295 0.000406 0.000573 0.000861 0.001386 0.002414 0.004996